tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Panama City Beach via Charlotte: arrives on time 37%

  1. 19:07 DCA → 20:55 CLT
    AA 3263 · American · 1h 48m · 52% on time, 2.3% cancelled
  2. 2h 00m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:55 CLT → 23:40 ECP
    AA 5633 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 45m · 57% on time, 6.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival (Panama City Beach is 1 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 28 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 75 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 00m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (2.3% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (6.5% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip5h 33mDCA 19:07 to ECP 23:40, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.