tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Washington via Miami: arrives on time 32%

  1. 14:26 PHL → 17:27 MIA
    AA 3265 · American · 3h 01m · 67% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:25 MIA → 20:59 DCA
    AA 667 · American · 2h 35m · 51% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection64%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 36% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time32%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (64%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (51%).
Total trip6h 34mPHL 14:26 to DCA 20:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.