tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Knoxville via Chicago: arrives on time 55%

  1. 06:56 EWR → 08:44 ORD
    AA 3267 · American · 2h 48m · 88% on time, 2.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 06m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:50 ORD → 12:43 TYS
    AA 6456 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 53m · 64% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 21 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 06m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (2.6% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip5h 47mEWR 06:56 to TYS 12:43, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.