tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Tampa via Chicago: arrives on time 74%

  1. 06:56 EWR → 08:44 ORD
    AA 3267 · American · 2h 48m · 88% on time, 2.6% cancelled
  2. 2h 35m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:19 ORD → 15:12 TPA
    UA 1834 · United · 2h 53m · 83% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 8h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 65 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 35m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (2.6% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip8h 16mEWR 06:56 to TPA 15:12, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.