tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Hebron via Chicago: arrives on time 81%

  1. 06:56 EWR → 08:44 ORD
    AA 3267 · American · 2h 48m · 88% on time, 2.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 46m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:30 ORD → 13:01 CVG
    AA 4412 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 31m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 61 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 46m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (2.6% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip6h 05mEWR 06:56 to CVG 13:01, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.