tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Birmingham → Tampa via Charlotte: arrives on time 78%

  1. 05:06 BHM → 07:35 CLT
    AA 3269 · American · 1h 29m · 94% on time, 4.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 40m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:15 CLT → 11:04 TPA
    AA 2828 · American · 1h 49m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 1 h ahead of Birmingham). Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 55 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 40m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (4.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip4h 58mBHM 05:06 to TPA 11:04, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.