tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Birmingham → Nashville via Charlotte: arrives on time 74%

  1. 05:06 BHM → 07:35 CLT
    AA 3269 · American · 1h 29m · 94% on time, 4.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 30m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:05 CLT → 09:49 BNA
    AA 5083 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 44m · 84% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 4h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 45 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 30m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (4.0% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip4h 43mBHM 05:06 to BNA 09:49, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.