tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Birmingham → Washington via Charlotte: arrives on time 73%

  1. 05:06 BHM → 07:35 CLT
    AA 3269 · American · 1h 29m · 94% on time, 4.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 39m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:14 CLT → 12:59 DCA
    AA 5527 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 44m · 77% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 1 h ahead of Birmingham). Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 174 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 39m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (4.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip6h 52mBHM 05:06 to DCA 12:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.