tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Washington via New York: arrives on time 80%

  1. 06:00 ORD → 09:16 LGA
    AA 327 · American · 2h 16m · 91% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 31m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:47 LGA → 12:17 DCA
    AA 4654 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 30m · 85% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 46 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 31m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip5h 17mORD 06:00 to DCA 12:17, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.