tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Chicago via Philadelphia: arrives on time 79%

  1. 06:00 ATL → 08:11 PHL
    AA 3270 · American · 2h 10m · 93% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 24m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:35 PHL → 12:09 ORD
    AA 1041 · American · 2h 34m · 82% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Atlanta). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 99 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 24m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip7h 09mATL 06:00 to ORD 12:09, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.