tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Key West via Philadelphia: arrives on time 81%

  1. 06:00 ATL → 08:11 PHL
    AA 3270 · American · 2h 10m · 93% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 19m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:30 PHL → 13:41 EYW
    AA 1898 · American · 3h 10m · 85% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 7h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 94 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 19m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip7h 40mATL 06:00 to EYW 13:41, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.