tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Richmond via Philadelphia: arrives on time 68%

  1. 06:00 ATL → 08:11 PHL
    AA 3270 · American · 2h 10m · 93% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:05 PHL → 10:29 RIC
    AA 5894 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 24m · 77% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip4h 29mATL 06:00 to RIC 10:29, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.