tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Norfolk via Philadelphia: arrives on time 75%

  1. 06:00 ATL → 08:11 PHL
    AA 3270 · American · 2h 10m · 93% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:07 PHL → 10:29 ORF
    AA 6122 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 22m · 84% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip4h 29mATL 06:00 to ORF 10:29, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.