tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → Los Angeles via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 11%

  1. 19:50 TPA → 21:37 DFW
    AA 3272 · American · 2h 47m · 24% on time, 9.2% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:31 DFW → 23:45 LAX
    AA 1504 · American · 3h 14m · 61% on time, 3.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 3 h behind Tampa). Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection21%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 79% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time11%First flight not cancelled (9.2% are) × connection made (21%) × second flight not cancelled (3.8% are) and within 15 minutes (61%).
Total trip6h 55mTPA 19:50 to LAX 23:45, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.