tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → Austin via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 17%

  1. 19:50 TPA → 21:37 DFW
    AA 3272 · American · 2h 47m · 24% on time, 9.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 13m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:50 DFW → 23:51 AUS
    AA 1588 · American · 1h 03m · 57% on time, 3.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival (Austin is 1 h behind Tampa). Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection35%The first flight arrived more than 28 minutes late on 65% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 13m layover.
Arrives on time17%First flight not cancelled (9.2% are) × connection made (35%) × second flight not cancelled (3.5% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip5h 03mTPA 19:50 to AUS 23:51, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.