tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fayetteville/Springdale/ → Phoenix via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 30%

  1. 17:47 XNA → 19:15 DFW
    AA 3274 · American · 1h 28m · 52% on time, 4.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:30 DFW → 21:02 PHX
    AA 1133 · American · 2h 32m · 64% on time, 12.7% cancelled

Total trip 5h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind Fayetteville/Springdale/). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection57%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 43% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time30%First flight not cancelled (4.5% are) × connection made (57%) × second flight not cancelled (12.7% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip5h 15mXNA 17:47 to PHX 21:02, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.