tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fayetteville/Springdale/ → Phoenix via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 42%

  1. 17:47 XNA → 19:15 DFW
    AA 3274 · American · 1h 28m · 52% on time, 4.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 14m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:29 DFW → 22:06 PHX
    AA 3239 · American · 2h 38m · 61% on time, 6.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind Fayetteville/Springdale/). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection76%The first flight arrived more than 89 minutes late on 24% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 14m layover.
Arrives on time42%First flight not cancelled (4.5% are) × connection made (76%) × second flight not cancelled (6.3% are) and within 15 minutes (61%).
Total trip6h 20mXNA 17:47 to PHX 22:06, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.