tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Cleveland → Phoenix via Philadelphia: arrives on time 80%

  1. 07:07 CLE → 08:44 PHL
    AA 3277 · American · 1h 37m · 97% on time, 6.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 01m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:45 PHL → 11:49 PHX
    AA 2820 · American · 5h 04m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Cleveland). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 16 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 01m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (6.5% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip7h 42mCLE 07:07 to PHX 11:49, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.