tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → New York via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 56%

  1. 00:26 SFO → 06:05 DFW
    AA 3281 · American · 3h 39m · 51% on time, 7.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 20m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:25 DFW → 13:00 LGA
    AA 1056 · American · 3h 35m · 75% on time, 4.5% cancelled

Total trip 9h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection85%The first flight arrived more than 95 minutes late on 15% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 20m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (7.0% are) × connection made (85%) × second flight not cancelled (4.5% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip9h 34mSFO 00:26 to LGA 13:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.