tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Miami via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 38%

  1. 00:26 SFO → 06:05 DFW
    AA 3281 · American · 3h 39m · 51% on time, 7.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:10 DFW → 11:11 MIA
    AA 3290 · American · 3h 01m · 82% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Miami is 3 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection51%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 49% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (7.0% are) × connection made (51%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip7h 45mSFO 00:26 to MIA 11:11, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.