tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Jackson → Charlotte via Chicago: arrives on time 20%

  1. 15:39 JAC → 20:07 ORD
    AA 3282 · American · 3h 28m · 47% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:54 ORD → 23:59 CLT
    AA 2976 · American · 2h 05m · 62% on time, 4.5% cancelled

Total trip 6h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Charlotte is 2 h ahead of Jackson). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection35%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 65% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time20%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (35%) × second flight not cancelled (4.5% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip6h 20mJAC 15:39 to CLT 23:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.