tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Minneapolis via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 38%

  1. 12:47 LAS → 17:49 DFW
    AA 3285 · American · 3h 00m · 69% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 02m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:51 DFW → 21:20 MSP
    AA 2806 · American · 2h 30m · 58% on time, 4.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 2 h ahead of Las Vegas). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 17 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 02m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (4.9% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip6h 34mLAS 12:47 to MSP 21:20, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.