tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Tulsa via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 36%

  1. 12:47 LAS → 17:49 DFW
    AA 3285 · American · 3h 00m · 69% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:36 DFW → 19:48 TUL
    AA 3830 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 12m · 72% on time, 8.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tulsa is 2 h ahead of Las Vegas). Times are local. Both flew on 35 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection55%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 45% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (55%) × second flight not cancelled (8.0% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip5h 01mLAS 12:47 to TUL 19:48, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.