tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Amarillo via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 14%

  1. 16:53 LAS → 21:49 DFW
    AA 3286 · American · 2h 56m · 65% on time, 6.9% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:41 DFW → 23:59 AMA
    AA 1536 · American · 1h 18m · 26% on time, 6.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival (Amarillo is 2 h ahead of Las Vegas). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection60%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 40% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time14%First flight not cancelled (6.9% are) × connection made (60%) × second flight not cancelled (6.5% are) and within 15 minutes (26%).
Total trip5h 06mLAS 16:53 to AMA 23:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.