tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Oakland via Los Angeles: arrives on time 61%

  1. 09:55 MIA → 12:24 LAX
    AA 3288 · American · 5h 29m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 06m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 15:30 LAX → 16:50 OAK
    WN 2417 · Southwest · 1h 20m · 64% on time, 3.8% cancelled

Total trip 9h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Oakland is 3 h behind Miami). Times are local. Both flew on 23 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 96 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 06m layover.
Arrives on time61%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (3.8% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip9h 55mMIA 09:55 to OAK 16:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.