tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Richmond via Miami: arrives on time 31%

  1. 11:30 PHL → 14:30 MIA
    AA 3302 · American · 2h 59m · 76% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:16 MIA → 17:45 RIC
    AA 2939 · American · 2h 29m · 55% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection58%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 42% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time31%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (58%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (55%).
Total trip6h 15mPHL 11:30 to RIC 17:45, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.