tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Las Vegas via Miami: arrives on time 36%

  1. 16:25 PHL → 19:27 MIA
    AA 3306 · American · 3h 02m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 59m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:26 MIA → 22:35 LAS
    AA 2025 · American · 5h 09m · 49% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h behind Philadelphia). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (49%).
Total trip9h 10mPHL 16:25 to LAS 22:35, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.