tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Boston via Miami: arrives on time 40%

  1. 16:25 PHL → 19:27 MIA
    AA 3306 · American · 3h 02m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:20 MIA → 23:41 BOS
    AA 2539 · American · 3h 21m · 59% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip7h 16mPHL 16:25 to BOS 23:41, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.