tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Wilmington via Miami: arrives on time 75%

  1. 16:25 PHL → 19:27 MIA
    AA 3306 · American · 3h 02m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 31m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:58 MIA → 23:59 ILM
    AA 3897 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 01m · 79% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 106 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 31m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip7h 34mPHL 16:25 to ILM 23:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.