tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Boston → Fort Myers via Philadelphia: arrives on time 37%

  1. 17:05 BOS → 18:49 PHL
    AA 3309 · American · 1h 44m · 58% on time, 8.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 11m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:00 PHL → 22:57 RSW
    AA 2571 · American · 2h 57m · 62% on time, 4.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 26 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 11m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (8.6% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (4.0% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip5h 52mBOS 17:05 to RSW 22:57, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.