tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Phoenix via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 52%

  1. 06:38 SDF → 08:08 DFW
    AA 331 · American · 2h 30m · 80% on time, 5.8% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:55 DFW → 09:29 PHX
    AA 520 · American · 2h 34m · 76% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Louisville). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time52%First flight not cancelled (5.8% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip5h 51mSDF 06:38 to PHX 09:29, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.