tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Las Vegas via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 76%

  1. 06:38 SDF → 08:08 DFW
    AA 331 · American · 2h 30m · 80% on time, 5.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 48m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:56 DFW → 12:57 LAS
    F9 1051 · Frontier · 3h 01m · 86% on time, 1.3% cancelled

Total trip 9h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h behind Louisville). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 138 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 48m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (5.8% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (1.3% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip9h 19mSDF 06:38 to LAS 12:57, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.