tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Hartford via Washington: arrives on time 36%

  1. 13:42 MIA → 16:26 DCA
    AA 3310 · American · 2h 44m · 70% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:20 DCA → 18:49 BDL
    AA 5136 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 29m · 70% on time, 20.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 20 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (20.0% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip5h 07mMIA 13:42 to BDL 18:49, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.