tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Asheville via Washington: arrives on time 31%

  1. 13:42 MIA → 16:26 DCA
    AA 3310 · American · 2h 44m · 70% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 02m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:28 DCA → 19:12 AVL
    AA 4736 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 44m · 48% on time, 4.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 22 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 17 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 02m layover.
Arrives on time31%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (4.5% are) and within 15 minutes (48%).
Total trip5h 30mMIA 13:42 to AVL 19:12, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.