tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → San Diego via Denver: arrives on time 85%

  1. 09:35 PHL → 11:56 DEN
    AA 3312 · American · 4h 21m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 59m layover in Denver (DEN) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 15:55 DEN → 17:20 SAN
    UA 1281 · United · 2h 25m · 85% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 10h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Diego is 3 h behind Philadelphia). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 149 minutes late on <1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 59m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip10h 45mPHL 09:35 to SAN 17:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.