Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
New York → Los Angeles via Chicago: arrives on time 23%
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19:25 LGA → 21:35 ORDAA 3318 · American · 3h 10m · 59% on time, 15.4% cancelled
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55m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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22:30 ORD → 00:52 LAX +1 dayAA 1209 · American · 4h 22m · 53% on time, 5.1% cancelled
Total trip 8h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 3 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection55%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 45% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time23%First flight not cancelled (15.4% are) × connection made (55%) × second flight not cancelled (5.1% are) and within 15 minutes (53%).
Total trip8h 27mLGA 19:25 to LAX 00:52, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.