tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Fayetteville/Springdale/ via Chicago: arrives on time 89%

  1. 10:20 PHX → 15:58 ORD
    AA 332 · American · 3h 37m · 74% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 2h 32m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:30 ORD → 20:37 XNA
    AA 3578 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 07m · 96% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 8h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fayetteville/Springdale/ is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 107 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 32m layover.
Arrives on time89%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (96%).
Total trip8h 17mPHX 10:20 to XNA 20:37, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.