Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
New York → Nashville via Chicago: arrives on time 36%
-
13:59 JFK → 15:53 ORDAA 3321 · American · 2h 54m · 79% on time, 11.1% cancelled
-
1h 12m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
-
17:05 ORD → 18:54 BNAAA 4933 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 49m · 51% on time, 2.4% cancelled
Total trip 5h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection82%The first flight arrived more than 27 minutes late on 18% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 12m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (11.1% are) × connection made (82%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (51%).
Total trip5h 55mJFK 13:59 to BNA 18:54, layover included
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.