tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Boston → Norfolk via Chicago: arrives on time 81%

  1. 05:10 BOS → 07:04 ORD
    AA 3324 · American · 2h 54m · 92% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:00 ORD → 11:28 ORF
    AA 4643 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 28m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip6h 18mBOS 05:10 to ORF 11:28, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.