tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Phoenix via Chicago: arrives on time 21%

  1. 10:45 DFW → 13:25 ORD
    AA 3330 · American · 2h 40m · 63% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:25 ORD → 16:09 PHX
    AA 1384 · American · 3h 44m · 34% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind Dallas-Fort Worth). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection63%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 37% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time21%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (63%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (34%).
Total trip7h 24mDFW 10:45 to PHX 16:09, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.