tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Sioux Falls via Chicago: arrives on time 34%

  1. 10:45 DFW → 13:25 ORD
    AA 3330 · American · 2h 40m · 63% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:18 ORD → 16:12 FSD
    AA 4990 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 54m · 67% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection53%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 47% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (53%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip5h 27mDFW 10:45 to FSD 16:12, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.