Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Phoenix → Jacksonville via Chicago: arrives on time 40%
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12:15 PHX → 18:08 ORDAA 338 · American · 3h 53m · 70% on time, 0.7% cancelled
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1h 21m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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19:29 ORD → 22:57 JAXAA 2096 · American · 2h 36m · 52% on time, 5.2% cancelled
Total trip 7h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Jacksonville is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection82%The first flight arrived more than 36 minutes late on 18% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 21m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (0.7% are) × connection made (82%) × second flight not cancelled (5.2% are) and within 15 minutes (52%).
Total trip7h 50mPHX 12:15 to JAX 22:57, layover included
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.