Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Phoenix → Tampa via Chicago: arrives on time 48%
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12:15 PHX → 18:08 ORDAA 338 · American · 3h 53m · 70% on time, 0.7% cancelled
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1h 09m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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19:17 ORD → 21:52 TPAAA 353 · American · 2h 50m · 63% on time, 1.0% cancelled
Total trip 7h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection78%The first flight arrived more than 24 minutes late on 22% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 09m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (0.7% are) × connection made (78%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip7h 52mPHX 12:15 to TPA 21:52, layover included
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.