Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Hebron via Chicago: arrives on time 59%

  1. 12:15 PHX → 18:08 ORD
    AA 338 · American · 3h 53m · 70% on time, 0.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 21m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:29 ORD → 22:00 CVG
    AA 3690 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 31m · 74% on time, 3.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Hebron is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection82%The first flight arrived more than 36 minutes late on 18% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 21m layover.
Arrives on time59%First flight not cancelled (0.7% are) × connection made (82%) × second flight not cancelled (3.0% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip6h 45mPHX 12:15 to CVG 22:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.