Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Phoenix → Louisville via Chicago: arrives on time 58%
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12:15 PHX → 18:08 ORDAA 338 · American · 3h 53m · 70% on time, 0.7% cancelled
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1h 21m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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19:29 ORD → 22:04 SDFAA 4603 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 35m · 75% on time, 4.3% cancelled
Total trip 6h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival (Louisville is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection82%The first flight arrived more than 36 minutes late on 18% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 21m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (0.7% are) × connection made (82%) × second flight not cancelled (4.3% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip6h 49mPHX 12:15 to SDF 22:04, layover included
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.