tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → San Diego via Los Angeles: arrives on time 83%

  1. 15:40 JFK → 18:48 LAX
    AA 341 · American · 6h 08m · 77% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 3h 52m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 22:40 LAX → 23:40 SAN
    DL 3746 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 00m · 87% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 11h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Diego is 3 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 142 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 52m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip11h 00mJFK 15:40 to SAN 23:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.