tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → Las Vegas via Chicago: arrives on time 84%

  1. 06:44 TPA → 08:49 ORD
    AA 354 · American · 3h 08m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 11m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:00 ORD → 13:05 LAS
    UA 2440 · United · 4h 05m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h behind Tampa). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 41 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 11m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip9h 21mTPA 06:44 to LAS 13:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.