tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Providence → New York via Chicago: arrives on time 67%

  1. 07:07 PVD → 08:59 ORD
    AA 360 · American · 2h 51m · 81% on time, 4.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 52m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:51 ORD → 14:30 JFK
    AA 4350 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 39m · 85% on time, 10.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 67 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 52m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (4.9% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (10.0% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip7h 23mPVD 07:07 to JFK 14:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.