tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Providence → Washington via Chicago: arrives on time 70%

  1. 07:07 PVD → 08:59 ORD
    AA 360 · American · 2h 51m · 81% on time, 4.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 46m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:45 ORD → 13:59 DCA
    AA 4809 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 14m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 25 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 61 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 46m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (4.9% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip6h 52mPVD 07:07 to DCA 13:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.