tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Phoenix via Charlotte: arrives on time 82%

  1. 05:00 DCA → 06:26 CLT
    AA 365 · American · 1h 26m · 95% on time, 2.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:41 CLT → 09:05 PHX
    AA 1678 · American · 4h 24m · 89% on time, 1.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (2.6% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (1.3% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip7h 05mDCA 05:00 to PHX 09:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.